"If you go back to the 2014 referendum, there was no relationship at that referendum between people's attitudes towards Europe and whether or not they voted Yes or No," says polling expert John Curtice. Colin Dunn explains “ Much justifiable concern at the apparent belief that higher Yes support will somehow force Johnson to change his mind about an S30. The SNP’s constitutional spokesman, Mike Russell, said work on an IndyRef2 had been “paused” because of the coronavirus pandemic gripping Europe.
But in Scotland, in particular, the coronavirus pandemic has accelerated those forces, forcing Mr. Johnson to mount an elaborate — some say belated — charm offensive with the Scottish public.The situation is less acute in Northern Ireland, where reunification with the Republic of Ireland still seems a distant prospect. "There's been a sense in which basically she's just levelled with people," says Curtice, "and she's kind of said, 'this is difficult, I'm probably going to worry about some of these decisions I've made for the rest of my life'. That effect was less pronounced within the UK, but public health is a devolved matter, so lockdown has probed the tender line where England meets Scotland. Even many of Sturgeon’s critics privately concede that she has had a good crisis, leavening executive authority with humility and sincerity – qualities the Tory leader has only read about. What does Nicola Sturgeon want to happen? The country has a powerful case of independence fever Britain Aug 8th 2020 edition N ICOLA STURGEON recoils from the suggestion that coronavirus could be politically advantageous. If Yes promises to pave the way for Scotland to rejoin the EU, we could see a repeat of the wrangling over the Northern Irish border after the 2016 Brexit vote - although that would also leave the UK government adopting the very same logic to argue against independence that it previously rejected in arguing for a hard Brexit.
"The fact that it's gone completely the other way demonstrates how catastrophic Westminster's handling of the crisis has been." The first minister is a nationalist but not an Anglophobe fanatic. The prime minister is concerned.LONDON — Barely six months after Britain broke away from the European Union, Prime Minister Boris Johnson is increasingly consumed with trying to stop the breakaway of restive parts of the United Kingdom.On Friday, Mr. Johnson sent his popular Treasury chief, Rishi Sunak, to Scotland, to tamp down nationalist sentiment that has surged there in recent months.
“The question is, whether this frantic activity is too little, too late.”Mr. The Brexit vote then sparked a movement of pro-union Remain voters towards Yes, but one that was balanced out by pro-independence Leave voters shifting towards No - initially at least. The headline “The Yes Vote for Scottish independence takes its biggest ever Lead” would surely be good news for supporters of Scottish independence? With independence competing with Brexit as the predominant political issue in Scotland, the Scottish Government has called for a second independence referendum to take place by the end of 2020. FMQs: Nicola Sturgeon rejects calls for John Swinney to goStonehaven: Three dead after ScotRail train derailment in AberdeenshireThe SNP’s constitutional spokesman, Mike Russell, said work on an IndyRef2 had been “paused” because of the coronavirus pandemic gripping Europe.The Scottish Government had wanted to stage another independence vote in 2020 in the wake of the UK’s departure from the EU.A majority of MSPs at Holyrood backed such a plan in January when Nicola Sturgeon said she would demand the UK Government devolve the neccessary powers to stage such a vote - a move swifty rejected by Boris Johnson.In a letter to the UK Government published on Wednesday, Mr Russell said: “We have also written to the Electoral Commission to make clear we do not expect it to undertake testing of a referendum question until public health circumstances permit such activity.”Arguing for negotiations with the EU to also be paused, Mr Russell added: “We would now strongly suggest to the UK Government that the time has come for an equivalent action by you with regard to the Brexit process, and would ask you to institute a pause to EU/UK negotiations for at least six months.“It would seem impossible for business and others to cope with the enormous challenge of coronavirus while at the same time preparing for a completely new relationship with the EU in nine months time.“A pause is also necessary given the inevitable lack of parliamentary and public scrutiny of the negotiations and their progress over that period, when all attention and effort will be focused on our collective actions to tackle and defeat the coronavirus.”Welcoming the decision to postpone IndyRef2 campaigning, Scottish Conservative MSP Murdo Fraser said: “This is very welcome news and will come as a relief to workers and businesses alike.“Since the scale of this outbreak became clear, it’s been necessary for all governments and political parties to work together.“This announcement from Mike Russell is very much in keeping with that spirit.“Now we can really dedicate all our efforts to enduring this crisis, supporting those who will be worst hit, and ensure we can come out the other side looking forward to a bright future.”Scottish Liberal Democrat leader Willie Rennie said: “I know how much this means to the SNP so it must be difficult to put their ambitions on hold.“We will have the debate on the merits of keeping our country together at another time, but we must put all these differences aside whilst we beat this threat to our lives and our way of life. Scotland’s Independence in 2020. "My guess is the pandemic may have shifted opinion to the point where that's less likely to happen. IT'S the biggest Tory majority since the days of Thatcher. “I don’t accept the argument that there’s a border down the Irish Sea because Northern Ireland businesses, Northern Ireland people will continue to have totally unfettered access to the rest of the U.K,” said Michael Gove. Scots voted overwhelmingly to stay in the European Union during the 2016 Brexit referendum.Pro-independence feelings have hardened in Scotland during the pandemic because many people there believe that Scotland has done a better job managing the crisis than the Johnson government in neighboring England. The independence debate still has years left to run.
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